Article Text
Abstract
Background and Objectives Difficult epidural placement (DEP) during labor may be distressing for the patient and may increase the risk of dural puncture. A score predicting DEP based on the combination of individual risk factors could identify high-risk patients. This study aimed to identify risk factors for DEP and build a prediction score.
Methods Three hundred thirty patients were prospectively included. Difficult epidural placement was defined as more than 1 skin puncture with a Tuohy needle. Dura puncture occurrence was recorded. The population was randomly split into a training set and a validation set. In the training set, risk factors were identified with logistic regression and used to build a score defining 3 risk groups. Model and score discrimination was assessed with the C-index and clinical usefulness of the score with decision curves.
Results Difficult epidural placement frequency was 30% (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 25%–35%). Dural puncture was more frequent in DEP patients (4% vs 0%, P = 0.007). Three independent risk factors for DEP were identified: difficult interspinous space palpation (odds ratio [OR], 6.1; 95% CI, 2.8–13.9), spinal deformity (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.1–5.3), and inability to flex the back (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.2–7.8). The C-index of the model was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74–0.88) in the training set and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.70–0.86) in the validation set. A 5-point score was created to define groups with low risk (score 0), intermediate risk (score 1–2), and high risk (score 3–4), with predicted rates of DEP of 9.7%, 30.3%, and 68.9%, respectively. The C-index of the score was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.72–0.86) in the training set and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.69–0.84) in the validation set. Decision curves support the clinical usefulness of the score.
Conclusions This study confirms risk factors for DEP and proposes a score to predict DEP. The score identifies high-risk patients who may benefit from an intervention to decrease DEP. This hypothesis should be evaluated in an impact study.
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Footnotes
The work should be attributed to Département d’Anesthésie-Réanimation, Hôpital Bichat, Paris, France.
No sponsor was involved in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, writing of the report, or the decision to submit for publication. The corresponding author had full access to all the data in the study and had final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication.
The authors declare no conflict of interest.